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Team Environment: EPA, PROE & pace

Neutral-script offensive and defensive EPA per play, success rate, PROE (pass rate over expected), and pace: the top-down team prior every player share sits in front of.

How we read it

EPA/play: neutral-script efficiency

Offensive and defensive expected points added per play, taken on early downs in neutral game scripts to strip out garbage time and score effects. The cleanest top-down efficiency read.

PROE: pass rate over expected

How much more (or less) a team passes than the down-distance-score situation expects. Positive PROE is a pass-leaning environment that lifts receivers and the passing game.

Pace: the volume multiplier

No-huddle rate as a pace proxy. A fast, pass-leaning, efficient offense is the environment every player share sits in front of. Buy the offense it points to.

Team scoring environment · 2025

The top-down team prior

Early-down, neutral-script EPA/play (offense and defense), success rate, PROE (pass rate over expected), and a no-huddle pace proxy from real nflverse play-by-play. Garbage time and obvious pass/run spots are stripped so each team reads as a stable baseline. Context, not a point projection.

32 rows
#The read
1DAL+0.1349840%49%+0.1031090%47%+0.0%7%Buy offense
2LA+0.1319530%51%-0.1049530%41%+4.3%6%Buy offense
3ATL+0.1019220%47%+0.0014840%44%-5.1%9%Buy offense
4DET+0.0878910%47%-0.0095780%42%-3.8%5%Buy offense
5GB+0.0748590%46%+0.0542970%44%-4.0%6%Buy offense
6NE+0.0708280%46%-0.0567660%44%+2.8%2%Buy offense
7TB+0.0537970%44%+0.0871410%47%-3.0%5%Buy offense
8JAX+0.0497660%47%-0.0588280%43%+5.9%8%Buy offense
9MIA+0.0497340%46%+0.0842030%51%-3.9%3%Buy offense
10PHI+0.0487030%45%-0.0487340%42%-1.7%24%Buy offense
11IND+0.0486720%45%+0.0174530%46%+5.6%5%Buy offense
12BAL+0.0476410%45%-0.0015470%43%-8.2%2%Buy offense
13SEA+0.0426090%46%-0.0868910%40%-5.6%8%Buy offense
14WAS+0.0405780%46%+0.172160%50%-3.2%63%Buy offense
15CIN+0.0365470%47%+0.0503280%45%+3.4%0%Buy offense
16CHI+0.0345160%44%+0.0592660%49%-0.5%5%Buy offense
17SF+0.0244840%48%+0.0632340%48%+0.8%5%Buy offense
18KC+0.0224530%46%+0.0374220%45%+5.9%3%Buy offense
19NYG+0.0164220%41%+0.0403910%45%-3.9%27%Buy offense
20BUF+0.0143910%47%-0.0015160%44%-2.7%4%Buy offense
21DEN+0.0113590%43%-0.0326720%40%+1.5%12%Buy offense
22LAC-0.0063280%44%-0.0276410%44%+4.3%1%Fade offense
23ARI-0.0262970%43%+0.121780%47%+6.8%6%Fade offense
24PIT-0.0472660%42%-0.0708590%40%-1.5%10%Fade offense
25TEN-0.0482340%36%+0.0871720%45%-4.7%5%Fade offense
26MIN-0.0562030%44%-0.0979220%41%-1.0%6%Fade offense
27CAR-0.0751720%44%-0.0437030%42%-2.9%3%Fade offense
28HOU-0.0841410%40%-0.1099840%36%+0.8%4%Fade offense
29CLE-0.1111090%35%-0.0136090%43%-3.6%5%Fade offense
30NO-0.112780%40%+0.0433590%47%-0.5%21%Fade offense
31NYJ-0.179470%37%+0.159470%48%-9.4%5%Fade offense
32LV-0.206160%36%-0.0567970%41%-0.8%7%Fade offense

Early-down, neutral-script EPA/play (offense and defense), success rate, PROE (pass rate over expected), and a no-huddle pace proxy from real nflverse play-by-play. Garbage time and obvious pass/run spots are stripped so each team reads as a stable baseline. Context, not a point projection.

Data via nflverse (nflverse-data), licensed CC BY 4.0. How we source data

More engines & APIs5 engines without a standalone boardPOST-only, founder-gated, or rendered on the player boards under /players. Expand to browse them.

Roster Advice

Model → real add/drop/read decisions for a posted roster (composes with Sleeper sync).

Graded Pool

Composes the model + xFP + team environment (real schemeFit from neutral-script offensive EPA) + QB-forward passing signal into a real graded pool that drives every fantasy tool when the founder enables it.

QB Consensus

ESPN QBR (results) vs Next Gen CPOE (accuracy), triangulated. Disagreement surfaced, not averaged.

Rushing Efficiency

RYOE/att vs volume with stacked-box context: bell-cow / buy-low / volume-dependent.

Receiving Opportunity (WOPR)

Air-yards & target share → WOPR, with opportunity-vs-production buy/sell.