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Team Environment — EPA, PROE & pace

Neutral-script offensive and defensive EPA per play, success rate, PROE (pass rate over expected), and pace — the top-down team prior every player share sits in front of.

How we read it

EPA/play — neutral-script efficiency
Offensive and defensive expected points added per play, taken on early downs in neutral game scripts to strip out garbage time and score effects. The cleanest top-down efficiency read.
PROE — pass rate over expected
How much more (or less) a team passes than the down-distance-score situation expects. Positive PROE is a pass-leaning environment that lifts receivers and the passing game.
Pace — the volume multiplier
No-huddle rate as a pace proxy. A fast, pass-leaning, efficient offense is the environment every player share sits in front of — buy the offense it points to.

Team scoring environment · 2025

The top-down team prior

Early-down, neutral-script EPA/play (offense and defense), success rate, PROE (pass rate over expected), and a no-huddle pace proxy from real nflverse play-by-play. Garbage time and obvious pass/run spots are stripped so each team reads as a stable baseline. Context, not a point projection.

32 rows
#The read
1DAL+0.1349840%49%+0.1031090%47%+0.0%7%Buy offense
2LA+0.1319530%51%-0.1049530%41%+4.3%6%Buy offense
3ATL+0.1019220%47%+0.0014840%44%-5.1%9%Buy offense
4DET+0.0878910%47%-0.0095780%42%-3.8%5%Buy offense
5GB+0.0748590%46%+0.0542970%44%-4.0%6%Buy offense
6NE+0.0708280%46%-0.0567660%44%+2.8%2%Buy offense
7TB+0.0537970%44%+0.0871410%47%-3.0%5%Buy offense
8JAX+0.0497660%47%-0.0588280%43%+5.9%8%Buy offense
9MIA+0.0497340%46%+0.0842030%51%-3.9%3%Buy offense
10PHI+0.0487030%45%-0.0487340%42%-1.7%24%Buy offense
11IND+0.0486720%45%+0.0174530%46%+5.6%5%Buy offense
12BAL+0.0476410%45%-0.0015470%43%-8.2%2%Buy offense
13SEA+0.0426090%46%-0.0868910%40%-5.6%8%Buy offense
14WAS+0.0405780%46%+0.172160%50%-3.2%63%Buy offense
15CIN+0.0365470%47%+0.0503280%45%+3.4%0%Buy offense
16CHI+0.0345160%44%+0.0592660%49%-0.5%5%Buy offense
17SF+0.0244840%48%+0.0632340%48%+0.8%5%Buy offense
18KC+0.0224530%46%+0.0374220%45%+5.9%3%Buy offense
19NYG+0.0164220%41%+0.0403910%45%-3.9%27%Buy offense
20BUF+0.0143910%47%-0.0015160%44%-2.7%4%Buy offense
21DEN+0.0113590%43%-0.0326720%40%+1.5%12%Buy offense
22LAC-0.0063280%44%-0.0276410%44%+4.3%1%Fade offense
23ARI-0.0262970%43%+0.121780%47%+6.8%6%Fade offense
24PIT-0.0472660%42%-0.0708590%40%-1.5%10%Fade offense
25TEN-0.0482340%36%+0.0871720%45%-4.7%5%Fade offense
26MIN-0.0562030%44%-0.0979220%41%-1.0%6%Fade offense
27CAR-0.0751720%44%-0.0437030%42%-2.9%3%Fade offense
28HOU-0.0841410%40%-0.1099840%36%+0.8%4%Fade offense
29CLE-0.1111090%35%-0.0136090%43%-3.6%5%Fade offense
30NO-0.112780%40%+0.0433590%47%-0.5%21%Fade offense
31NYJ-0.179470%37%+0.159470%48%-9.4%5%Fade offense
32LV-0.206160%36%-0.0567970%41%-0.8%7%Fade offense

Early-down, neutral-script EPA/play (offense and defense), success rate, PROE (pass rate over expected), and a no-huddle pace proxy from real nflverse play-by-play. Garbage time and obvious pass/run spots are stripped so each team reads as a stable baseline. Context, not a point projection.

Data via nflverse (nflverse-data), licensed CC BY 4.0. How we source data

More engines & APIs

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Composes the model + xFP + team environment (real schemeFit from neutral-script offensive EPA) + QB-forward passing signal into a real graded pool that drives every fantasy tool when the founder enables it.

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ESPN QBR (results) vs Next Gen CPOE (accuracy), triangulated — disagreement surfaced, not averaged.

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RYOE/att vs volume with stacked-box context — bell-cow / buy-low / volume-dependent.

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Air-yards & target share → WOPR, with opportunity-vs-production buy/sell.