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QB Forward Prior — DAKOTA & ANY/A

The most forward-looking QB reads: DAKOTA (EPA+CPOE composite) and Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt, with the agreement between them surfaced — not averaged away.

JSON How we read each metric

How we read it

DAKOTA — EPA + CPOE composite: nflverse's adjusted EPA + accuracy composite, tuned to predict next-year adjusted EPA/play. The closest public “forward” QB number.
ANY/A — adjusted net yards per attempt: The classic efficiency yardstick, built transparently from raw box columns. A genuinely different forward lens than the composite.
The edge — agreement, not an average: When both priors land in the same tier we read a clean forward signal; when they diverge it's a second look. We surface the disagreement, we don't average it away.

Forward prior leaders · 2024 through week 18

Who the forward lenses like

Two independent forward QB priors from real nflverse weekly data — the DAKOTA EPA + CPOE composite and ANY/A efficiency — converted to percentiles, averaged into a forward grade, with their agreement surfaced rather than averaged away. A forward prior / context, not a point projection or pick.

30 rows

#											The read
1	Lamar Jackson	BAL	17	474	0.201	9.38	99	99	99	1.00	Agree
2	Jared Goff	DET	17	539	0.198	8.06	97	97	97	1.00	Agree
3	Josh Allen	BUF	16	483	0.175	7.96	95	95	95	1.00	Agree
4	Joe Burrow	CIN	17	652	0.164	7.28	93	86	89	0.94	Agree
5	Baker Mayfield	TB	17	570	0.155	7.13	88	82	85	0.94	Agree
6	Derek Carr	NO	10	279	0.133	7.57	78	93	85	0.85	Agree
7	Brock Purdy	SF	15	455	0.138	7.34	80	88	84	0.92	Agree
8	Jalen Hurts	PHI	15	361	0.156	6.93	90	78	84	0.87	Agree
9	Jordan Love	GB	15	425	0.131	7.50	76	90	83	0.85	Agree
10	Sam Darnold	MIN	17	545	0.140	6.99	82	80	81	0.98	Agree
11	Tua Tagovailoa	MIA	11	399	0.145	6.61	86	76	81	0.89	Agree
12	Jayden Daniels	WAS	17	480	0.144	6.50	84	71	78	0.87	Agree
13	Justin Herbert	LAC	17	504	0.120	7.25	69	84	77	0.85	Agree
14	Kyler Murray	ARI	17	541	0.126	6.23	73	65	69	0.92	Agree
15	Russell Wilson	PIT	11	336	0.112	6.39	65	69	67	0.96	Agree
16	Matthew Stafford	LA	16	517	0.100	6.59	59	73	66	0.85	Agree
17	Patrick Mahomes	KC	16	581	0.124	6.02	71	59	65	0.87	Agree
18	Bo Nix	DEN	17	567	0.105	6.12	63	61	62	0.98	Agree
19	Geno Smith	SEA	17	578	0.114	5.93	67	52	60	0.85	Agree
20	Kirk Cousins	ATL	14	453	0.096	6.13	54	63	59	0.92	Agree
21	Joe Flacco	IND	7	248	0.101	5.88	61	50	55	0.89	Agree
22	Michael Penix	ATL	5	105	0.084	6.29	44	67	55	0.77	Diverge
23	Trevor Lawrence	JAX	10	284	0.087	5.99	50	56	53	0.94	Agree
24	Justin Fields	PIT	10	161	0.100	5.86	56	46	51	0.89	Agree
25	Aaron Rodgers	NYJ	17	584	0.080	5.87	37	48	43	0.89	Agree
26	Jameis Winston	CLE	11	296	0.086	5.35	48	37	43	0.89	Agree
27	C.J. Stroud	HOU	17	532	0.081	5.44	42	39	40	0.98	Agree
28	Mason Rudolph	TEN	8	228	0.085	5.16	46	35	40	0.89	Agree
29	Aidan O'Connell	LV	9	243	0.057	5.97	22	54	38	0.68	Diverge
30	Bryce Young	CAR	14	384	0.081	5.11	39	33	36	0.94	Agree

Data via nflverse (nflverse-data), licensed CC BY 4.0. How we source data

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