Edge Map
The market, visualized the way the model reads it.
Market movement and opportunity visualization by sport, slate, matchup, and region. When the readiness gate opens, the Edge Map streams line movement, sharp/public splits, and market depth across every active matchup: the same view the engine reads from.
The slate as a universe · live
Don't take the pick. Enter the model.
Every game is a star system. Brightness is signal density, the halo is volatility, the orbit wobble is contradiction, and the ring tracks confidence as you scrub the slate's timeline. Click a system to open its read. This is today's live slate: real games and the metrics the engine produces; encodings without a wired data source stay dark rather than guess.
- Brightness:
- how much signal a game has. Brighter means more for the model to read.
- Halo:
- uncertainty. A wider halo means the read is shakier.
- Wobble:
- disagreement. The model's own signals pull against each other.
- Ring:
- our confidence in the read, firming up toward kickoff.
Edge Map
The slate as a navigable instrument - bringing the spatial view online.
Live slate · 36 games
Slate manifest - 36 systems
- New York Mets @ Miami MarlinsWATCHLIST
- Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red SoxWATCHLIST
- Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore OriolesWATCHLIST
- Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee BrewersWATCHLIST
- Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City RoyalsWATCHLIST
- Minnesota Twins @ Detroit TigersWATCHLIST
- Washington Nationals @ San Diego PadresWATCHLIST
- St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco GiantsWATCHLIST
- Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles DodgersWATCHLIST
- Toronto Blue Jays @ AthleticsWATCHLIST
- Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore OriolesWATCHLIST
- New York Mets @ Miami MarlinsWATCHLIST
- Houston Astros @ Philadelphia PhilliesWATCHLIST
- Minnesota Twins @ Detroit TigersWATCHLIST
- Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red SoxNO-BET
- Colorado Rockies @ New York YankeesNO-BET
- Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta BravesNO-BET
- Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City RoyalsWATCHLIST
- Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee BrewersNO-BET
- Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago White SoxWATCHLIST
- Texas Rangers @ Seattle MarinersNO-BET
- Toronto Blue Jays @ AthleticsNO-BET
- Washington Nationals @ San Diego PadresWATCHLIST
- St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco GiantsNO-BET
- Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles DodgersWATCHLIST
- Minnesota Twins @ Detroit TigersWATCHLIST
- Toronto Blue Jays @ AthleticsNO-BET
- St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco GiantsNO-BET
- Washington Nationals @ San Diego PadresWATCHLIST
- Texas Rangers @ Seattle MarinersNO-BET
- Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore OriolesWATCHLIST
- Houston Astros @ Philadelphia PhilliesWATCHLIST
- New York Mets @ Miami MarlinsWATCHLIST
- Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red SoxNO-BET
- Colorado Rockies @ New York YankeesNO-BET
- Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta BravesNO-BET
Market fair board: vig removed
What the books are charging, margin stripped (Shin de-vig, median across books). The market's opinion, not ours.
New York Mets @ Miami Marlins
MLB · 09-07 17:10 UTC · 11 books · hold 4.0% · drift +3.2pp → home (0.72pp/hr)
Home 55.6%Away 44.4%Gravity 11 → home · Slight lean52.2%P(home) cloud · one dot per book · spread 1.5pp58.2%Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox
MLB · 09-07 17:35 UTC · 11 books · hold 4.0% · drift -0.7pp → away (0.16pp/hr)
Home 61.4%Away 38.6%Gravity 23 → home · Slight lean58.5%P(home) cloud · one dot per book · spread 1.7pp64.5%Cleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles
MLB · 09-07 17:35 UTC · 11 books · hold 3.9% · drift +1.6pp → home (0.36pp/hr)
Home 55.5%Away 44.5%Gravity 11 → home · Slight lean52.6%P(home) cloud · one dot per book · spread 1.3pp58.6%Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers
MLB · 09-07 18:10 UTC · 11 books · hold 4.1% · drift -0.2pp → away (0.04pp/hr)
Home 53.4%Away 46.6%Gravity 7 · Balanced51.2%P(home) cloud · one dot per book · spread 1.8pp57.2%Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
MLB · 09-07 18:10 UTC · 11 books · hold 3.8% · drift -0.2pp → away (0.04pp/hr)
Home 50.6%Away 49.4%Gravity 1 · Balanced47.6%P(home) cloud · one dot per book · spread 1.1pp53.6%Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers
MLB · 09-07 19:10 UTC · 11 books · hold 4.0% · drift -1pp → away (0.22pp/hr)
Home 52.3%Away 47.6%Gravity 5 · Balanced50.0%P(home) cloud · one dot per book · spread 1.6pp56.0%Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres
MLB · 09-07 21:10 UTC · 11 books · hold 4.0% · drift +0.3pp → home (0.07pp/hr)
Home 64.9%Away 35.1%Gravity 29 → home · Slight lean61.4%P(home) cloud · one dot per book · spread 3.1pp68.5%SMU Mustangs @ Florida State Seminoles
NCAAF · 09-07 23:30 UTC · 3 books · hold 4.4% · drift 0pp → home (0pp/hr)
Home 42.2%Away 57.8%Gravity 14 → away · Slight lean38.8%P(home) cloud · one dot per book · spread 0.9pp44.8%SMU Mustangs @ Florida State Seminoles
NCAAF · 09-07 23:30 UTC · 11 books · hold 4.3% · drift +0.1pp → home (0.11pp/hr)
Home 43.1%Away 56.9%Gravity 14 → away · Slight lean40.1%P(home) cloud · one dot per book · spread 1.6pp46.1%St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants
MLB · 09-08 00:10 UTC · 11 books · hold 4.0% · drift 0pp → home (0pp/hr)
Home 54.5%Away 45.5%Gravity 9 · Balanced51.7%P(home) cloud · one dot per book · spread 1.1pp57.7%Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers
MLB · 09-08 01:10 UTC · 11 books · hold 4.2% · drift +2.8pp → home (0.62pp/hr)
Home 61.4%Away 38.6%Gravity 23 → home · Slight lean58.8%P(home) cloud · one dot per book · spread 2pp64.9%Toronto Blue Jays @ Athletics
MLB · 09-08 02:05 UTC · 11 books · hold 4.0% · drift +0.3pp → home (0.07pp/hr)
Home 34.9%Away 65.1%Gravity 30 → away · Moderate pull31.9%P(home) cloud · one dot per book · spread 1.4pp37.9%
Drift = fair-price movement across the capture window (earliest vs latest quote per book, vig removed): the direction an edge bleeds, and the pp/hr rate is how fast (the Line Death Clock). The cloud under each game is one dot per book, the market's real spread of belief, not a simulated variance. De-vigged prices describe the market, not the outcome. They are not picks, projections, or advice. The engine's own reads live on the board and carry their full evidence trail.
Line shop: best available price
Where the price is best right now, per side, across the books we capture. Shop the number. It's your money.
New York Mets @ Miami Marlins
MLB · 09-07 17:10 UTC · 11 books
Best home ML-130williamhill_usBest away ML+120betusBest home spread-1.5 +155betriversBest away spread+1.5 -175betusBest over8 -110betriversBest under8 -102lowvigLos Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox
MLB · 09-07 17:35 UTC · 11 books
Best home ML-167betusBest away ML+157williamhill_usBest home spread-1.5 +126lowvigBest away spread+1.5 -139betriversBest over8 -118betriversBest under8.5 -118lowvigCleveland Guardians @ Baltimore Orioles
MLB · 09-07 17:35 UTC · 11 books
Best home ML-128betusBest away ML+122lowvigBest home spread-1.5 +166lowvigBest away spread+1.5 -184fanduelBest over7 -113lowvigBest under7.5 -124fanduelChicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers
MLB · 09-07 18:10 UTC · 11 books
Best home ML-121betusBest away ML+112betriversBest home spread-1.5 +166lowvigBest away spread+1.5 -180williamhill_usBest over8.5 -105fanaticsBest under8.5 -104lowvigArizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
MLB · 09-07 18:10 UTC · 11 books
Best home ML-105williamhill_usBest away ML-103lowvigBest home spread+1.5 -177mybookieagBest away spread+1.5 -200betusBest over9 -109betriversBest under9.5 -120betmgmMinnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers
MLB · 09-07 19:10 UTC · 11 books
Best home ML-115betonlineagBest away ML+107betriversBest home spread+1.5 -200betmgmBest away spread+1.5 -200bovadaBest over7.5 -115bovadaBest under8 -118lowvigWashington Nationals @ San Diego Padres
MLB · 09-07 21:10 UTC · 11 books
Best home ML-192draftkingsBest away ML+180betriversBest home spread-1.5 +111draftkingsBest away spread+1.5 -121betriversBest over8 -107lowvigBest under8 -107lowvigSMU Mustangs @ Florida State Seminoles
NCAAF · 09-07 23:30 UTC · 3 books
Best home ML+130draftkingsBest away ML-150betmgmBest home spread+3 -110betmgmBest away spread-2.5 -122fanduelBest over53.5 -105fanduelBest under53.5 -110betmgmSMU Mustangs @ Florida State Seminoles
NCAAF · 09-07 23:30 UTC · 11 books
Best home ML+124draftkingsBest away ML-138betonlineagBest home spread+3 -120betusBest away spread-2.5 -108lowvigBest over54.5 -110fanaticsBest under55 -110betusSt. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants
MLB · 09-08 00:10 UTC · 11 books
Best home ML-125williamhill_usBest away ML+115betusBest home spread-1.5 +168mybookieagBest away spread+1.5 -188fanduelBest over7.5 -113lowvigBest under7.5 +100bovadaCincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers
MLB · 09-08 01:10 UTC · 11 books
Best home ML-169mybookieagBest away ML+162williamhill_usBest home spread-1.5 +126fanduelBest away spread+1.5 -135williamhill_usBest over8.5 -102lowvigBest under8.5 -113lowvigToronto Blue Jays @ Athletics
MLB · 09-08 02:05 UTC · 11 books
Best home ML+183williamhill_usBest away ML-200fanduelBest home spread+1.5 +104mybookieagBest away spread-1.5 -117lowvigBest over8 -127betriversBest under8.5 -115fanatics
The best price shown is each book's latest captured quote for that side: a transparency read, not a pick and not a prompt to bet both sides. Prices move; confirm at the book before you act.
Simulation cloud: the shape of an outcome
A win probability is one number. The real outcome is a cloud. Set two expected scoring-event rates (goals / scoring drives) and watch the distribution of final margins. Illustrative: transparent Poisson math, not a game projection.
Lit bars = the narrowest band holding 80% of outcomes (margin -2 to +3). Even a clear favourite lives inside a wide cloud.
- Home win
- 53.2%
- Tie
- 17.7%
- Away win
- 29.0%
Illustrative model on transparent Poisson math. It teaches variance. It is not a pick, projection, or live game read.
Scoring rules: reliability diagram
Brier score, expected calibration error, and bucket reliability from settled canonical picks.
Sample
0
Brier
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ECE
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Max gap
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Building calibration history from settled canonical picks. Public metrics stay dark until eligibility GREEN and publish policy. The observatory keeps this panel in a collecting state until real settled rows clear the public calibration gate.
Reliability diagram is gated until settled canonical calibration rows exist. This is a draft-only observatory artifact; it does not flip projection publishing, provider, pricing, or model-version flags.
What the Edge Map shows when it opens.
Line movement
How each market drifts from open to close: the path of the price, not just the snapshot, so a late move doesn't slip past you.
Sharp / public split
Where money and tickets disagree. When the line moves against the crowd, that divergence is a signal worth reading.
Market depth
How many books have a market and how tightly they agree: a transparency signal you can weigh for yourself.
Status · Readiness sealed
The Edge Map stays dark until Galaxy Sports Edge has enough settled history to publish a calibrated live read. We would rather show you nothing than show you a number we can't yet stand behind. In the meantime, the methodology page explains exactly what feeds into it.
