Edge Map
The market, visualized the way the model reads it.
Market movement and opportunity visualization by sport, slate, matchup, and region. When the readiness gate opens, the Edge Map streams line movement, sharp/public splits, and market depth across every active matchup: the same view the engine reads from.
The slate as a universe · interactive preview
Don't take the pick. Enter the model.
Every game is a star system. Brightness is signal density, the halo is volatility, the orbit wobble is contradiction, and the ring tracks confidence as you scrub the slate's timeline. Click a system to open its read. This preview runs on illustrative data. When the readiness gate opens, it streams the live slate.
- Brightness:
- how much signal a game has. Brighter means more for the model to read.
- Halo:
- uncertainty. A wider halo means the read is shakier.
- Wobble:
- disagreement. The model's own signals pull against each other.
- Ring:
- our confidence in the read, firming up toward kickoff.
Edge Map
The slate as a navigable instrument - bringing the spatial view online.
Illustrative slate · demo data, not live
Slate manifest - 9 systems
- NFL · Game 01PLAY
- NFL · Game 02WATCHLIST
- NFL · Game 03NO-BET
- NBA · Game 01PLAY
- NBA · Game 02WATCHLIST
- MLB · Game 01PLAY
- MLB · Game 02NO-BET
- NHL · Game 01WATCHLIST
- NHL · Game 02PLAY
Market fair board: vig removed
What the books are charging, margin stripped (Shin de-vig, median across books). The market's opinion, not ours.
No upcoming game carries a two-sided quote from at least two books in the capture window. The board renders only from real captured odds. It stays empty rather than inventing a market.
Drift = fair-price movement across the capture window (earliest vs latest quote per book, vig removed): the direction an edge bleeds, and the pp/hr rate is how fast (the Line Death Clock). The cloud under each game is one dot per book, the market's real spread of belief, not a simulated variance. De-vigged prices describe the market, not the outcome. They are not picks, projections, or advice. The engine's own reads live on the board and carry their full evidence trail.
Line shop: best available price
Where the price is best right now, per side, across the books we capture. Shop the number. It's your money.
No upcoming game carries a real quote from at least two books in the capture window. The shop renders only from captured odds. It stays empty rather than inventing a price.
The best price shown is each book's latest captured quote for that side: a transparency read, not a pick and not a prompt to bet both sides. Prices move; confirm at the book before you act.
Simulation cloud: the shape of an outcome
A win probability is one number. The real outcome is a cloud. Set two expected scoring-event rates (goals / scoring drives) and watch the distribution of final margins. Illustrative: transparent Poisson math, not a game projection.
Lit bars = the narrowest band holding 80% of outcomes (margin -2 to +3). Even a clear favourite lives inside a wide cloud.
- Home win
- 53.2%
- Tie
- 17.7%
- Away win
- 29.0%
Illustrative model on transparent Poisson math. It teaches variance. It is not a pick, projection, or live game read.
Scoring rules: reliability diagram
Brier score, expected calibration error, and bucket reliability from settled canonical picks.
Sample
168
Brier
0.304
ECE
14.5%
Max gap
16.9%
50-59
55 picks
Exp 53.9%
Obs 67.3%
Gap 13.4%
60-69
47 picks
Exp 64.6%
Obs 51.1%
Gap 13.6%
70-79
41 picks
Exp 74.2%
Obs 57.3%
Gap 16.9%
Reliability diagram is computed from settled canonical picks only. This is a draft-only observatory artifact; it does not flip projection publishing, provider, pricing, or model-version flags.
What the Edge Map shows when it opens.
Line movement
How each market drifts from open to close: the path of the price, not just the snapshot, so a late move doesn't slip past you.
Sharp / public split
Where money and tickets disagree. When the line moves against the crowd, that divergence is a signal worth reading.
Market depth
How many books have a market and how tightly they agree: a transparency signal you can weigh for yourself.
Status · Pre-launch
The Edge Map stays dark until Galaxy Sports Edge has enough settled history to publish a calibrated live read. We would rather show you nothing than show you a number we can't yet stand behind. In the meantime, the methodology page explains exactly what feeds into it.