Settled-pick audit trail
Calibration Report
Every finished pick from the live engine is counted, wins and losses alike. Picks from our early warm-up period are excluded by design. They don't get to inflate the record.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Methodology
- Win rate definition
wins divided by decided outcomes- Pushes
- Reported separately, excluded from the denominator
- Sample size
- 2,952 official live-engine picks
- Model version
v5.2.7- Last computed
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 19:54:10 GMT
All-Time Record — book-priced picks
Based on 1,909 finished live-engine picks that carried a bookmaker price. Win rate excludes pushes. · 95% band 47-52% · break-even 52.4%
No verdict — not rendered. Coverage, a lower bound, CLV, and walk-forward lineage are required.
Model-signal record
not bettablePublished from the model signal with no bookmaker price behind it. Kept in the record for honesty; never counted in the headline above.
W
651
L
392
P
0
1,043 settled picks
1,909 of 2,952 settled rows carry a stored price. The record above is judged on the priced lane only.
By sport (all-time)
BASEBALL_MLB
W
624
L
690
P
9
1,323 official live-engine picks
AMERICANFOOTBALL_NCAAF
W
160
L
100
P
2
262 official live-engine picks
SOCCER_USA_MLS
W
103
L
100
P
7
210 official live-engine picks
ICEHOCKEY_NHL
W
30
L
44
P
1
75 official live-engine picks
AMERICANFOOTBALL_NFL
W
15
L
18
P
0
33 official live-engine picks
BASKETBALL_NBA
W
0
L
6
P
0
6 official live-engine picks
Recent periods
| Period | Sport | Type | W | L | P | Win% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10 | icehockey_nhl | SPREAD | 13 | 26 | 0 | — |
| 2026-10 | icehockey_nhl | TOTAL | 11 | 13 | 1 | — |
| 2026-10 | soccer_usa_mls | TOTAL | 11 | 8 | 0 | — |
| 2026-10 | americanfootball_ncaaf | SPREAD | 2 | 5 | 1 | — |
| 2026-10 | baseball_mlb | TOTAL | 5 | 2 | 0 | — |
| 2026-10 | soccer_usa_mls | SPREAD | 1 | 3 | 1 | — |
| 2026-10 | icehockey_nhl | SPREAD | 2 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2026-10 | baseball_mlb | SPREAD | 0 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2026-10 | americanfootball_ncaaf | TOTAL | 0 | 1 | 0 | — |
| 2026-10 | americanfootball_ncaaf | SPREAD | 1 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2026-09 | baseball_mlb | TOTAL | 72 | 65 | 3 | — |
| 2026-09 | baseball_mlb | SPREAD | 51 | 58 | 0 | — |
| 2026-09 | baseball_mlb | SPREAD | 43 | 53 | 0 | — |
| 2026-09 | americanfootball_ncaaf | SPREAD | 50 | 35 | 1 | — |
| 2026-09 | americanfootball_ncaaf | TOTAL | 33 | 26 | 0 | — |
| 2026-09 | americanfootball_ncaaf | SPREAD | 25 | 24 | 0 | — |
| 2026-09 | americanfootball_ncaaf | MONEYLINE | 45 | 3 | 0 | — |
Risk disclosure
Sports wagering is real risk. Only stake what you can afford to lose without changing your week. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Past performance does not guarantee future results.