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Opportunity Transfer: who inherits the vacated role

When a player is OUT, we quantify the targets and carries his role vacates and rank the most likely beneficiary: the waiver predictive core.

How we read it

Vacated touches: what the role leaves behind

When a player is OUT, his trailing per-game targets and carries become available volume. We quantify exactly how much opportunity the role vacates.

Beneficiary: who inherits it

From the depth chart and trailing usage, the player most likely to absorb the vacated touches: the waiver predictive core, before the box score confirms it.

Confidence: how clean the read is

High when the depth chart and usage agree on one beneficiary; low when the touches scatter across a committee.

Vacated-role transfers · 2025 week 22

Where the volume goes next

Vacated-role opportunity transfer: when a starter is OUT, the targets + carries his role commanded transfer through shrunk Markov role-state transitions to the next men up. No injuries means no transfer rows. We never fabricate a cascade. Context, not a point projection.

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Vacated-role opportunity transfer: when a starter is OUT, the targets + carries his role commanded transfer through shrunk Markov role-state transitions to the next men up. No injuries means no transfer rows. We never fabricate a cascade. Context, not a point projection.

Data via nflverse (nflverse-data), licensed CC BY 4.0. How we source data

More engines & APIs5 engines without a standalone boardPOST-only, founder-gated, or rendered on the player boards under /players. Expand to browse them.

Roster Advice

Model → real add/drop/read decisions for a posted roster (composes with Sleeper sync).

Graded Pool

Composes the model + xFP + team environment (real schemeFit from neutral-script offensive EPA) + QB-forward passing signal into a real graded pool that drives every fantasy tool when the founder enables it.

QB Consensus

ESPN QBR (results) vs Next Gen CPOE (accuracy), triangulated. Disagreement surfaced, not averaged.

Rushing Efficiency

RYOE/att vs volume with stacked-box context: bell-cow / buy-low / volume-dependent.

Receiving Opportunity (WOPR)

Air-yards & target share → WOPR, with opportunity-vs-production buy/sell.