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The process grade behind every player.

One canonical profile per player, mined from the full nflverse advanced field set — EPA efficiency, opportunity (WOPR, target share), and volume — combined into a position-aware process grade. We compare it to actual production and surface the gap: where the inputs say more is coming (buy-low) or running hot (sell-high). The data layer that drives the tools. Not a pick.

JSON How we read each metric

How we read it

Process grade — the composite: The within-position percentile of each predictive anchor, averaged. QBs are graded on EPA/play + DAKOTA + PACR; receivers on WOPR + target share + EPA; backs on volume + EPA. Anchors persist and forecast; production is the noisy output. The gap is the edge.
Buy-low — inputs say more is coming: When the process grade sits well above the actual production percentile, the opportunity says the points are coming. Buy-low before it corrects.
Sell-high — running hot: When production outruns the process grade, the player is converting above his usage. Sell-high before it regresses. In-line means the points are earned by the opportunity. Not a pick.

2024 · through week 18 · 96 profiles

This week's buy-low adds

Rashee RiceWR · KC · grade 97

Process grade outruns the box score — the underlying inputs say the production is coming. Acquire before the market reprices.

Tua TagovailoaQB · MIA · grade 91

Process grade outruns the box score — the underlying inputs say the production is coming. Acquire before the market reprices.

Chris GodwinWR · TB · grade 90

Process grade outruns the box score — the underlying inputs say the production is coming. Acquire before the market reprices.

Dallas GoedertTE · PHI · grade 81

Process grade outruns the box score — the underlying inputs say the production is coming. Acquire before the market reprices.

Derek CarrQB · NO · grade 77

Process grade outruns the box score — the underlying inputs say the production is coming. Acquire before the market reprices.

Stefon DiggsWR · HOU · grade 72

Process grade outruns the box score — the underlying inputs say the production is coming. Acquire before the market reprices.

Dalton KincaidTE · BUF · grade 72

Process grade outruns the box score — the underlying inputs say the production is coming. Acquire before the market reprices.

Michael PenixQB · ATL · grade 71

Process grade outruns the box score — the underlying inputs say the production is coming. Acquire before the market reprices.

Sell-high / move off

Drake LondonWR · ATL · grade 78

Production outruns the process grade — it's running hotter than the inputs support. Sell into the value.

Brock BowersTE · LV · grade 76

Production outruns the process grade — it's running hotter than the inputs support. Sell into the value.

Davante AdamsWR · NYJ · grade 74

Production outruns the process grade — it's running hotter than the inputs support. Sell into the value.

Travis KelceTE · KC · grade 74

Production outruns the process grade — it's running hotter than the inputs support. Sell into the value.

Josh JacobsRB · GB · grade 72

Production outruns the process grade — it's running hotter than the inputs support. Sell into the value.

Kyren WilliamsRB · LA · grade 70

Production outruns the process grade — it's running hotter than the inputs support. Sell into the value.

QB

QB process grades

24 rows

#
1	Jared Goff	DET	97	88	+0.29	0.20	1.55	In-line
2	Lamar Jackson	BAL	95	99	+0.30	0.20	1.22	In-line
3	Tua Tagovailoa	MIA	91	56	+0.20	0.14	1.28	Buy-low
4	Baker Mayfield	TB	88	93	+0.20	0.15	1.21	In-line
5	Joe Burrow	CIN	86	97	+0.19	0.16	1.12	In-line
6	Josh Allen	BUF	85	95	+0.32	0.17	1.02	In-line
7	Patrick Mahomes	KC	78	76	+0.15	0.12	1.14	In-line
8	Brock Purdy	SF	78	73	+0.19	0.14	1.05	In-line
9	Jayden Daniels	WAS	78	90	+0.19	0.14	1.03	In-line
10	Derek Carr	NO	77	46	+0.16	0.13	1.09	Buy-low
11	Kyler Murray	ARI	76	80	+0.14	0.13	1.13	In-line
12	Jalen Hurts	PHI	76	84	+0.16	0.16	1.00	In-line
13	Geno Smith	SEA	73	71	+0.04	0.11	1.25	In-line
14	Michael Penix	ATL	71	5	+0.14	0.08	1.54	Buy-low
15	Jordan Love	GB	68	65	+0.14	0.13	0.99	In-line
16	Bo Nix	DEN	67	86	+0.09	0.10	1.05	Sell-high
17	Sam Darnold	MIN	66	82	+0.08	0.14	0.98	In-line
18	Mason Rudolph	TEN	63	22	+0.01	0.09	1.25	Buy-low
19	Matthew Stafford	LA	61	61	+0.06	0.10	1.03	In-line
20	Justin Herbert	LAC	61	78	+0.13	0.12	0.93	In-line
21	Kirk Cousins	ATL	60	52	+0.01	0.10	1.10	In-line
22	Aaron Rodgers	NYJ	54	69	+0.02	0.08	1.05	In-line
23	Russell Wilson	PIT	49	50	-0.02	0.11	0.96	In-line
24	Justin Fields	PIT	47	35	+0.05	0.10	0.83	In-line

RB

RB process grades

24 rows

#
1	Saquon Barkley	PHI	94	99	+0.12	0.20	388	In-line
2	Derrick Henry	BAL	93	96	+0.14	0.10	347	In-line
3	Jahmyr Gibbs	DET	92	98	+0.16	0.20	313	In-line
4	Bijan Robinson	ATL	89	97	+0.07	0.20	376	In-line
5	Bucky Irving	TB	84	86	+0.14	0.11	259	In-line
6	James Cook	BUF	80	92	+0.10	0.15	245	In-line
7	Devon Achane	MIA	79	95	+0.04	0.23	290	In-line
8	James Conner	ARI	76	88	+0.02	0.15	291	In-line
9	Chase Brown	CIN	76	89	+0.01	0.18	294	In-line
10	Aaron Jones	MIN	75	85	-0.03	0.19	317	In-line
11	David Montgomery	DET	74	80	+0.04	0.13	223	In-line
12	Kareem Hunt	KC	73	66	+0.02	0.10	232	In-line
13	Josh Jacobs	GB	72	94	-0.04	0.15	344	Sell-high
14	Austin Ekeler	WAS	71	62	+0.16	0.16	118	In-line
15	Rico Dowdle	DAL	71	75	-0.02	0.12	284	In-line
16	Najee Harris	PIT	71	78	-0.04	0.15	311	In-line
17	Joe Mixon	HOU	70	82	-0.04	0.19	297	In-line
18	Kyren Williams	LA	70	93	-0.07	0.13	356	Sell-high
19	Chuba Hubbard	CAR	69	84	-0.04	0.20	304	In-line
20	Tyler Allgeier	ATL	69	52	+0.05	0.06	150	In-line
21	Ray Davis	BUF	67	56	+0.07	0.09	132	In-line
22	Alvin Kamara	NO	66	90	-0.08	0.34	317	Sell-high
23	Justice Hill	BAL	65	59	+0.15	0.19	98	In-line
24	Jonathan Taylor	IND	65	87	-0.10	0.14	334	Sell-high

WR

WR process grades

24 rows

#
1	A.J. Brown	PHI	98	85	+0.64	0.86	97	In-line
2	Rashee Rice	KC	97	21	+0.63	0.75	30	Buy-low
3	DeVonta Smith	PHI	92	79	+0.64	0.64	90	In-line
4	Puka Nacua	LA	92	80	+0.47	0.70	117	In-line
5	Justin Jefferson	MIN	91	99	+0.43	0.72	155	In-line
6	Chris Godwin	TB	90	58	+0.59	0.63	63	Buy-low
7	Amon-Ra St. Brown	DET	90	98	+0.68	0.62	143	In-line
8	Ja'Marr Chase	CIN	88	100	+0.44	0.64	178	In-line
9	Tee Higgins	CIN	87	87	+0.53	0.63	109	In-line
10	Malik Nabers	NYG	85	96	+0.25	0.86	175	In-line
11	Courtland Sutton	DEN	83	89	+0.33	0.73	135	In-line
12	Brian Thomas	JAX	83	97	+0.39	0.64	139	In-line
13	Terry McLaurin	WAS	82	95	+0.55	0.63	119	In-line
14	Ladd McConkey	LAC	82	90	+0.58	0.58	112	In-line
15	George Pickens	PIT	81	67	+0.25	0.73	105	In-line
16	Nico Collins	HOU	80	82	+0.43	0.61	99	In-line
17	Mike Evans	TB	79	89	+0.35	0.66	110	In-line
18	Drake London	ATL	78	96	+0.22	0.68	159	Sell-high
19	Jauan Jennings	SF	77	81	+0.38	0.59	113	In-line
20	Zay Flowers	BAL	76	81	+0.38	0.57	125	In-line
21	Adam Thielen	CAR	75	59	+0.65	0.49	62	In-line
22	Davante Adams	NYJ	74	92	+0.14	0.70	141	Sell-high
23	Stefon Diggs	HOU	72	50	+0.32	0.57	67	Buy-low
24	Jakobi Meyers	LV	72	85	+0.24	0.61	131	In-line

TE

TE process grades

24 rows

#
1	George Kittle	SF	93	96	+0.72	0.46	94	In-line
2	Trey McBride	ARI	88	97	+0.34	0.62	148	In-line
3	Jonnu Smith	MIA	85	94	+0.51	0.39	113	In-line
4	Dallas Goedert	PHI	81	54	+0.37	0.41	52	Buy-low
5	Mark Andrews	BAL	79	91	+0.73	0.35	73	In-line
6	Pat Freiermuth	PIT	77	85	+0.46	0.35	78	In-line
7	Sam LaPorta	DET	77	87	+0.38	0.39	83	In-line
8	Hunter Henry	NE	76	80	+0.25	0.44	97	In-line
9	Brock Bowers	LV	76	99	+0.17	0.55	158	Sell-high
10	Zach Ertz	WAS	75	89	+0.32	0.40	91	In-line
11	Travis Kelce	KC	74	92	+0.16	0.53	134	Sell-high
12	Tucker Kraft	GB	74	84	+0.54	0.29	73	In-line
13	Dalton Kincaid	BUF	72	49	+0.20	0.43	75	Buy-low
14	Isaiah Likely	BAL	68	73	+0.48	0.29	58	In-line
15	Evan Engram	JAX	66	44	-0.00	0.50	64	Buy-low
16	Mike Gesicki	CIN	66	78	+0.41	0.30	83	In-line
17	T.J. Hockenson	MIN	64	42	+0.15	0.40	62	Buy-low
18	David Njoku	CLE	63	82	-0.07	0.45	97	Sell-high
19	Taysom Hill	NO	62	51	+0.30	0.28	70	In-line
20	Cole Kmet	CHI	62	68	+0.51	0.26	55	In-line
21	Cade Otton	TB	62	77	+0.13	0.39	88	In-line
22	Juwan Johnson	NO	61	72	+0.28	0.30	66	In-line
23	Will Dissly	LAC	57	61	+0.24	0.28	64	In-line
24	Grant Calcaterra	PHI	57	30	+0.53	0.21	30	Buy-low

One canonical advanced profile per player — EPA efficiency, opportunity, and volume combined into a position-aware process grade, with the process-vs-production gap surfaced (buy-low / sell-high). The data layer that drives the tools. Context, not a point projection.

Data via nflverse (nflverse-data), licensed CC BY 4.0. How we source data

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