Validation layer
Proof & Backtests
Runs
2
Proof state
fixture
Archive status
100/100
computed from 891 settled/graded canonical picks vs the 100-pick platform readiness floor (MIN_SETTLED_PICKS_FOR_LEARNING) — calibration report: publishing
Next milestone
store predictions
One prediction stored = proof starts
Proof Readiness
computed from 891 settled/graded canonical picks vs the 100-pick platform readiness floor (MIN_SETTLED_PICKS_FOR_LEARNING) — calibration report: publishing
Proof Readiness · 100 / 100
Predictions are logged, settled, and checked once live data flows
Proof Readiness is computed from real settled/graded pick counts against the platform's own readiness floor, never hand-typed. It reads 'not yet measured' instead of a number whenever the database isn't reachable at render time, and it rises automatically as real picks settle — every pick is archived with the model version, input data snapshot, and outcome, making the calibration score auditable.
2 runs recorded
Backtest Archive
Fixture — not a production record. These rows demonstrate the proof-archive UI and scoring math; they are not real settled predictions.
| run id | type | status | mae | calibration | proven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bt_fantasy_fixture | fantasy_projection | fixture_backtest | 5.8 | limited | UI and scoring math can display proof … |
| bt_volatility_fixture | volatility | fixture_backtest | — | — | — |